Burkina-Faso · Ligue 1

ASFA-Yennenga vs ASFB Prediction

· Stade du 4 Aout

ASFA-Yennenga badgeASFA-Yennenga vs ASFB badgeASFB

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the absence of a clear favourite reflects genuine uncertainty.
  • ASFA-Yennenga's superior head-to-head record and Poisson edge support the home side, but ASFB's stronger recent form and attack rating qualify that advantage.
  • Both teams' goal data show every match staying under 3.5 goals, reinforcing the under component of the advice.
  • The head-to-head series is dominated by draws and low-scoring results, which supports the draw leg of the double chance.
  • ASFB's better form and attack metrics conflict with the home-favoured Poisson and head-to-head data, explaining why the model avoids a straight home win.
  • Small two-match samples for both teams limit the reliability of form and goal averages, so the probabilities should be treated as indicative rather than precise.
Predicted winner
ASFA-Yennenga
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : ASFA-Yennenga or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorASFA-YennengaASFB
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h75.0%25.0%
Goals83.0%17.0%
Total58.6%41.4%

Team form and goal analysis

ASFA-Yennenga

Recent form: WL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

ASFB

Recent form: DW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. ASFB 0–3 ASFA-Yennenga (03 Apr 2026)
  2. ASFA-Yennenga 1–1 ASFB (25 Oct 2025)
  3. ASFB 0–1 ASFA-Yennenga (05 May 2025)
  4. ASFA-Yennenga 0–0 ASFB (17 Oct 2024)
  5. ASFB 0–0 ASFA-Yennenga (30 May 2024)
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