ASFA-Yennenga vs ASFB Prediction
· Stade du 4 Aout
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the absence of a clear favourite reflects genuine uncertainty.
- ASFA-Yennenga's superior head-to-head record and Poisson edge support the home side, but ASFB's stronger recent form and attack rating qualify that advantage.
- Both teams' goal data show every match staying under 3.5 goals, reinforcing the under component of the advice.
- The head-to-head series is dominated by draws and low-scoring results, which supports the draw leg of the double chance.
- ASFB's better form and attack metrics conflict with the home-favoured Poisson and head-to-head data, explaining why the model avoids a straight home win.
- Small two-match samples for both teams limit the reliability of form and goal averages, so the probabilities should be treated as indicative rather than precise.
- Predicted winner
- ASFA-Yennenga
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : ASFA-Yennenga or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | ASFA-Yennenga | ASFB |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Attack | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Total | 58.6% | 41.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
ASFA-Yennenga
Recent form: WL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
ASFB
Recent form: DW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- ASFB 0–3 ASFA-Yennenga (03 Apr 2026)
- ASFA-Yennenga 1–1 ASFB (25 Oct 2025)
- ASFB 0–1 ASFA-Yennenga (05 May 2025)
- ASFA-Yennenga 0–0 ASFB (17 Oct 2024)
- ASFB 0–0 ASFA-Yennenga (30 May 2024)


