Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso

Aserri FC vs Quepos Cambute Prediction

Aserri FC badgeAserri FC vs Quepos Cambute badgeQuepos Cambute

Match prediction

  • Quepos Cambute's perfect head-to-head record and superior attack rating justify favoring them despite Aserri's home advantage.
  • The near-even 45-45 split between away win and draw explains why the double chance is the safer expression of the model's lean.
  • Quepos concede only 0.30 goals per home game, supporting the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Aserri's modest 1.20 goals per game and zero matches over 3.5 goals reinforce the low-scoring expectation.
  • Quepos score 2.50 at home but just 0.80 away, a split that tempers confidence in an outright away victory.
  • Both teams share identical 50 percent form, so the head-to-head edge and goal trends carry more weight than recent results.
Predicted winner
Quepos Cambute
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Quepos Cambute and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAserri FCQuepos Cambute
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson61.0%39.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total47.2%52.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Aserri FC

Recent form: LLWLDWWWDLWWDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Quepos Cambute

Recent form: WLWDWLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Quepos Cambute 2–1 Aserri FC (16 Aug 2026)
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