Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso

Aserri FC vs Guadalupe FC Prediction

Aserri FC badgeAserri FC vs Guadalupe FC badgeGuadalupe FC

Match prediction

  • Aserri's far stronger recent form and superior defensive record support the double-chance advice, though the model rates home win and draw equally at 45 percent.
  • Guadalupe's attack metric slightly exceeds Aserri's, but their winless home record and zero clean sheets undercut any away-win case.
  • The near-even Poisson split and level goals metrics suggest a tight contest, reinforcing draw coverage rather than a confident outright home selection.
  • Aserri's head-to-head edge and recent win over Guadalupe add weight to the home side, yet Guadalupe's away scoring average of two goals keeps risk alive.
  • Both teams' totals rarely exceed 2.5 goals, indicating a low-scoring profile that makes the draw component of the advice especially valuable.
  • Guadalupe's tendency to concede heavily in the 31-45 and 61-75 windows gives Aserri a plausible route to the win half of the advice.
Predicted winner
Aserri FC
Betting advice
Double chance : Aserri FC or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorAserri FCGuadalupe FC
Form83.0%17.0%
Attack45.0%55.0%
Defence79.0%21.0%
Poisson49.0%51.0%
H2h60.0%40.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total61.0%39.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Aserri FC

Recent form: LLWLDWWWDLWWDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Guadalupe FC

Recent form: WDLLDLLLD.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Guadalupe FC 0–2 Aserri FC (15 Aug 2026)
  2. Guadalupe FC 3–1 Aserri FC (27 Aug 2025)
  3. Aserri FC 4–2 Guadalupe FC (15 Aug 2025)
  4. Guadalupe FC 1–2 Aserri FC (13 Apr 2025)
  5. Aserri FC 0–2 Guadalupe FC (01 Mar 2025)
Loading interactive prediction…