ASEC Mimosas vs Stella Prediction

Match prediction

• The model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each, leaving Stella only a 10 percent away win, which directly supports the double chance advice.
• ASEC's head-to-head edge of 62 versus 38 and superior goals share reinforce the home-or-draw lean despite both teams entering on a loss.
• Stella's attack rating of 100 against ASEC's defence of 67 is a small-sample artifact from one match, so it should not overturn the double chance.
• Every recent match for both sides stayed under 3.5 goals, and the goals analysis shows no over 3.5 outcomes, supporting the -3.5 goals component.
• The head-to-head record is low-scoring and tight, with several one-goal margins and draws, which qualifies the advice toward caution rather than a comfortable home win.
• Both teams lost their most recent fixture, so the draw probability is credible and the combined double chance plus under 3.5 goals reflects that uncertainty.

Predicted winner

ASEC Mimosas

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : ASEC Mimosas or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. ASEC Mimosas 1–0 Stella (12 Apr 2026)
2. Stella 1–1 ASEC Mimosas (02 Nov 2025)
3. ASEC Mimosas 1–0 Stella (19 Feb 2025)
4. Stella 0–0 ASEC Mimosas (12 Oct 2024)
5. ASEC Mimosas 0–1 Stella (12 May 2024)