ASC Dortmund vs TuS Hordel Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives ASC Dortmund a 45% home win probability and the same 45% draw probability, leaving TuS Hordel at just 10%, which is why the advice is a double chance on ASC Dortmund or draw rather than a straight home win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where ASC Dortmund lead on form (53.00 to 47.00), attack (59.00 to 41.00), defence (44.00 to 56.00) and Poisson (63.00 to 37.00), yet the aggregate total of 54.80 against 45.30 is far narrower than those individual gaps suggest. The goals data reinforce the home side's edge in output, with ASC Dortmund averaging 2.30 goals per game across six matches versus 1.40 for TuS Hordel, though the visitors' defensive record of 1.40 conceded per game is actually tighter than ASC Dortmund's 2.20. That tension helps explain the unusually high draw share, since ASC Dortmund have failed to keep a clean sheet at home and have conceded in every match, while TuS Hordel have also gone without a clean sheet all season. The last-five records add further nuance: ASC Dortmund's sequence of wins over Lippstadt 08 and Eintracht Rheine is interrupted by a 1-3 home loss to Sprockhovel and a 5-2 away defeat at Vreden, showing a side capable of both emphatic wins and heavy losses. TuS Hordel's recent form is more attritional, with a 2-1 home win over Hiltrup, a 1-3 home loss to Arminia II, and three draws or narrow results, and their away record of no wins in three away fixtures with only 0.70 goals scored per away game is a clear weakness. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can be used to support or challenge the prediction, and the goal-timing breakdowns are also unavailable, meaning the analysis rests on aggregate and recent-match data alone. Overall, the evidence points to ASC Dortmund as the stronger side on most metrics, but their defensive fragility and the visitors' tendency to draw keep the double-chance advice plausible rather than a confident outright home win.

Predicted winner

ASC Dortmund

Betting advice

Double chance : ASC Dortmund or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.