World · Friendlies Clubs

AS Eupen vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction

AS Eupen badgeAS Eupen vs Alemannia Aachen badgeAlemannia Aachen

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even three-way split, with home and draw each at 35%, makes the double-chance advice the safer expression of a marginal Eupen edge.
  • Eupen's superior attack and defensive ratings, plus a perfect scoring record across nine matches, support their slight home advantage despite identical recent form.
  • Aachen's away scoring average of 3.40 goals per game and Eupen's 3.20 average both point toward the +2.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Eupen's goals-for distribution shows only three of nine matches exceeding 2.5, a tension that qualifies rather than overturns the over recommendation.
  • Aachen's defence concedes just 1.00 per game and kept two clean sheets, suggesting the goal line carries more risk than the double chance.
  • The head-to-head sample is tiny and mixed, with each side winning one friendly, so it adds little beyond confirming the fixture's uncertainty.
Predicted winner
AS Eupen
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : AS Eupen or draw and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAS EupenAlemannia Aachen
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack59.0%41.0%
Defence42.0%58.0%
Poisson39.0%61.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total49.3%50.7%

Team form and goal analysis

AS Eupen

Recent form: LWWWDWWWL.

Average goals scored: 3.20 per match.

Alemannia Aachen

Recent form: WLWWDWL.

Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. AS Eupen —–— Alemannia Aachen (30 Jun 2023)
  2. Alemannia Aachen 3–1 AS Eupen (30 Jun 2023)
  3. AS Eupen 4–1 Alemannia Aachen (02 Jul 2022)
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