AS Agareb vs Sporting Ben Arous Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- AS Agareb's perfect form score rests on one away draw, a small sample that inflates their standing relative to Sporting Ben Arous's opening loss.
- Head-to-head favours AS Agareb, yet Sporting Ben Arous won the most recent meeting away, weakening any assumption of home dominance.
- Both attacks and defences rate evenly on goals, suggesting a tight contest where the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
- Sporting Ben Arous's heavy defeat and modest scoring in their last five point to vulnerability, supporting the home-or-draw lean.
- With only one fixture each and identical defensive ratings, the evidence is too thin to justify anything beyond the cautious double chance.
- Predicted winner
- AS Agareb
- Betting advice
- Double chance : AS Agareb or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | AS Agareb | Sporting Ben Arous |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
AS Agareb
Recent form: D.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Sporting Ben Arous
Recent form: L.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sporting Ben Arous 0–1 AS Agareb (13 Apr 2026)
- AS Agareb 2–2 Sporting Ben Arous (10 Jan 2026)
- AS Agareb 1–3 Sporting Ben Arous (16 Nov 2025)