Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese Prediction

Match prediction

• Arzignano's superior form, attack, and head-to-head metrics justify the home-or-draw double chance, though the model's equal 45% home and draw probabilities signal genuine uncertainty.
• Pergolettese's five clean sheets alongside six scoreless matches explain their low away win probability, supporting the double chance while limiting outright home confidence.
• Both teams' goal data show no match exceeding 3.5 goals, reinforcing the under 3.5 component of the advice.
• Pergolettese's attack averages just 0.10 goals per game, making a low-scoring contest the most plausible route to the combined recommendation.
• Recent head-to-head results alternate between narrow home wins and away victories, so the draw probability deserves equal weight within the double chance.
• Arzignano's defensive rating of zero is a clear outlier against their solid form, suggesting the model's home edge may be overstated.

Predicted winner

Arzignano Valchiampo

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Arzignano Valchiampo or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Pergolettese 0–1 Arzignano Valchiampo (14 Mar 2026)
2. Arzignano Valchiampo 1–0 Pergolettese (08 Nov 2025)
3. Pergolettese 0–2 Arzignano Valchiampo (23 Mar 2025)
4. Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Pergolettese (09 Nov 2024)
5. Pergolettese 1–1 Arzignano Valchiampo (07 Apr 2024)