Arosa vs Deportivo Alavés II Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Deportivo Alavés II, assigning 45% to an away win and 45% to a draw while giving Arosa only 10%, and its advice combines an Alavés II win with over 1.5 goals. That split between away win and draw is worth noting, since the probabilities do not strongly separate the two outcomes even though the named winner is Alavés II. The comparison metrics reinforce the away lean: form reads 75.00 for Alavés II against 25.00 for Arosa, attack 56.00 versus 44.00, defence 67.00 versus 33.00, and the Poisson split is 100.00 to 0.00, while the head-to-head and goals comparison fields are both 0.00 and therefore add no signal. Arosa's three league games show a DLD form with no wins, two draws and one loss, including a 0-4 home defeat to Gernika, and they have failed to score once while keeping no clean sheets. Alavés II's LWW form is stronger, with two wins from three, a 3-1 home win and a 1-2 away win, though their 0-2 home loss to Coruxo shows the record is not flawless. The goals analysis supports the over 1.5 element more than a high-scoring expectation: Arosa average 1.30 goals for and 2.70 against, Alavés II 1.70 for and 1.30 against, and both teams have gone over 1.5 in two of three matches while staying under 2.5 in two of three. Alavés II's goal timing is concentrated before the hour, with 40% of their goals in the 46-60 window, whereas Arosa concede across several periods, including 28.57% in each of the 0-15, 31-45 and 61-75 bands. The last-five records extend the picture but mix competitions and dates: Arosa have two draws, one loss and two wins, while Alavés II have three wins and two losses, so recent form broadly favours the visitors without being decisive. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to confirm or contradict the model's preference, and the small three-game samples mean the 45-45 split between away win and draw remains a reasonable qualification of the existing advice.

Predicted winner

Deportivo Alavés II

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Deportivo Alavés II and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.