Jamaica · Premier League

Arnett Gardens vs Portmore United Prediction

· Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Portmore United and +1.5 goals

Arnett Gardens badgeArnett Gardens vs Portmore United badgePortmore United

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance the logical core, since Arnett Gardens' 10% home win probability is unusually low for a host.
  • Portmore's 86 defence rating against Arnett's 14 suggests the visitors' defensive edge is the strongest single driver behind the away-leaning advice.
  • Arnett's attack rating of 64 exceeds Portmore's 36, a conflicting signal that likely explains why the model still assigns a substantial 45% draw share.
  • Portmore's head-to-head 71% and goals 67% advantages reinforce the away side, though recent meetings at this venue produced a draw and an away win.
  • Arnett's home form includes a 3-0 clean sheet, so the low home win probability may understate their venue threat and justifies the draw cover.
  • Both teams' goal data show frequent early and late scoring, supporting the +1.5 goals component alongside the double chance selection.
Predicted winner
Portmore United
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Portmore United and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorArnett GardensPortmore United
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence14.0%86.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total38.0%62.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Arnett Gardens

Recent form: LWL.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Portmore United

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Portmore United 1–2 Arnett Gardens (26 Apr 2026)
  2. Arnett Gardens 0–2 Portmore United (17 Feb 2026)
  3. Portmore United 1–0 Arnett Gardens (07 Dec 2025)
  4. Portmore United 2–1 Arnett Gardens (13 Apr 2025)
  5. Arnett Gardens 0–0 Portmore United (21 Feb 2025)
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