Arna-Bjørnar W vs Grei W Prediction
Match prediction
- Arna-Bjørnar's superior attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home side, though the model's 45% draw probability explains why the double chance is advised rather than a straight win.
- The head-to-head sample is a single away win for Arna-Bjørnar, so it reinforces their edge but is too small to treat as a reliable trend.
- Arna-Bjørnar's stronger form and nine clean sheets, including six at home, point to a solid defensive base that lowers the risk of an outright home defeat.
- Grei's recent away form includes a five-goal loss at Bryne, suggesting vulnerability on the road that supports covering the draw alongside an Arna-Bjørnar win.
- Both teams' goals cluster late in matches, so a tight scoreline could persist for long spells, which is consistent with the draw carrying equal probability to a home win.
- Arna-Bjørnar's away scoring average exceeds their home average, a mild caution that their home dominance may not translate into a comfortable margin.
- Predicted winner
- Arna-Bjørnar W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Arna-Bjørnar W or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Arna-Bjørnar W | Grei W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Arna-Bjørnar W
Recent form: WDWWWLDLWWLWWWWWLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.
Grei W
Recent form: LWLWLLDLLLWLLWWLDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Grei W 2–4 Arna-Bjørnar W (09 May 2026)