Aritma Praha vs Admira Praha Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Admira Praha a 45% win probability and the draw another 45%, leaving Aritma Praha at just 10%, and the advice is therefore a double chance on draw or Admira Praha. That output is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Admira lead form 80 to 20, attack 70 to 30, defence 67 to 33, Poisson 68 to 32, head-to-head 67 to 33, goals 57 to 43 and the overall total 68.2 to 31.8. The team analysis, however, complicates the picture: Admira's form string is DDDLLLL with no wins in seven matches, while Aritma's LWLLLDW includes two victories, so the model's confidence rests more on relative scoring and defensive metrics than on Admira's actual results. Aritma's goals analysis shows 8 scored and 14 conceded at 1.10 and 2.00 per game, whereas Admira have managed only 3 goals in seven games at 0.40 per match and conceded 18 at 2.60, which is a weak attacking base for a favoured side. Admira's last five reinforce that tension, with a 4-1 win over Písek followed by a 1-1 draw at Dukla Praha II and three defeats including a 4-0 loss to Táborsko, while Aritma's last five are almost entirely negative: a 7-0 loss at České Budějovice, a 3-1 home defeat to Slavia III, a 4-0 loss at Motorlet Praha, a 2-0 home loss to Králův Dvůr and a 2-2 draw at Loko Vltavín. The head-to-head record is the clearest counterweight to the away-favouritism, since Aritma won the most recent meeting 2-1 at this venue in May 2026 and Admira's only win in the three recorded fixtures was also a 2-1 home result in November 2025, with Aritma winning 1-0 in the 2019 cup tie. The goal-timing data adds a further qualification, as Admira have conceded 8 of 18 goals in the 76-90 minute window and 5 in the 61-75 window, suggesting late-game vulnerability that could keep Aritma in a match they are otherwise expected to lose. Overall, the probabilities and most comparison metrics point toward Admira avoiding defeat, but their winless seven-match run, minimal scoring output and Aritma's recent head-to-head edge mean the draw component of the double chance carries much of the analytical weight.

Predicted winner

Admira Praha

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Admira Praha

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Aritma Praha 2–1 Admira Praha (06 May 2026)
2. Admira Praha 2–1 Aritma Praha (22 Nov 2025)
3. Aritma Praha 0–1 Admira Praha (14 Aug 2019)