Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Antela Prediction
Match prediction
- Antela's stronger form and superior defensive record justify the model's combined draw-or-away advice, though the equal 45% probabilities signal genuine uncertainty.
- Arenteiro's poor recent form and weak defence explain why the model assigns them only a 10% win probability despite home advantage.
- Both attacks score just 0.50 goals per game, supporting the under 2.5 goals component of the advice.
- Antela's three clean sheets in four matches strengthen the defensive case, while Arenteiro's away defensive average of 1.50 goals conceded per game is a clear vulnerability.
- The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests primarily on recent form and defensive metrics rather than historical matchup patterns.
- Antela's missed penalty and both teams' low scoring output suggest fine margins, so the draw-or-away double chance appropriately hedges against a narrow home result.
- Predicted winner
- Antela
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Antela and -2.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -2.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Arenteiro | Antela |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 37.7% | 62.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Arenteiro
Recent form: LLWL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Antela
Recent form: WLDW.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


