Arandina vs Calasanz de Soria Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Arandina via a double-chance “Arandina or draw” advice, but the underlying probabilities are nearly flat at 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, so the recommendation reflects a marginal edge rather than a clear favourite. That edge is reinforced by the Poisson comparison, which splits 80 to 20 in Arandina’s favour, and by the total comparison of 56.30 against 43.80, yet the form metric points the other way at 40.00 for Arandina versus 60.00 for Calasanz de Soria, creating the central tension in this evidence. Attack is perfectly balanced at 50.00 apiece, while Arandina’s defensive score of 55.00 against Calasanz’s 45.00 offers a modest counterweight to the away side’s superior form. The head-to-head, goals and h2h comparison fields are all populated with zeros, and the head-to-head record itself is empty, so no historical meeting between these teams can be used to separate them. Arandina’s three-match form line of LDW is consistent with a team that has scored in two of three outings but kept no clean sheets, including a 4-3 away win at Salamanca II, a 1-1 home draw with Almazán and a 1-0 away loss at UD Santa Marta. Calasanz’s WLW record is superficially stronger, yet it is built on two home wins (3-2 over Unionistas II and 1-0 over Guijuelo) and a 4-1 away defeat at La Virgen del Camino, which explains why their away goals-against average is 4.00 and why their overall defensive average of 2.00 is worse than Arandina’s 1.70. Both teams average 1.70 goals scored per game across this small sample, and both have seen over 0.5 goals in all three matches, so the goal data suggests involvement in open games rather than a decisive attacking mismatch. With only three fixtures played by each side and no head-to-head evidence, the model’s double-chance advice looks like a cautious hedge around a genuinely close contest rather than a confident call.

Predicted winner

Arandina

Betting advice

Double chance : Arandina or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.