Bangladesh · Premier League

Arambagh vs Rahmatgonj MFS Prediction

Arambagh badgeArambagh vs Rahmatgonj MFS badgeRahmatgonj MFS

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the absence of a clear favourite reflects genuine uncertainty.
  • Arambagh's perfect form and attack scores stem from a single drawn match, so those metrics overstate their true strength.
  • Rahmatgonj's scoreless away loss and failure to score support the low-scoring outlook, but their recent goalless draw shows defensive resilience.
  • Both teams' recent matches produced at most two goals, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Head-to-head heavily favours Rahmatgonj, creating tension with the home-favouring prediction and tempering confidence in an Arambagh win.
  • The draw probability matching the home win suggests the double chance is the safer expression of this uncertain fixture.
Predicted winner
Arambagh
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Arambagh or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorArambaghRahmatgonj MFS
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack100.0%0.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals17.0%83.0%
Total32.0%68.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Arambagh

Recent form: D.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Rahmatgonj MFS

Recent form: L.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Arambagh 1–0 Rahmatgonj MFS (24 Apr 2026)
  2. Rahmatgonj MFS 3–0 Arambagh (06 Dec 2025)
  3. Rahmatgonj MFS 3–0 Arambagh (27 Aug 2021)
  4. Arambagh 1–4 Rahmatgonj MFS (05 Mar 2021)
  5. Rahmatgonj MFS —–— Arambagh (28 Jul 2020)
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