Uzbekistan · Pro League A

Aral vs Qiziriq Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Aral

Aral badgeAral vs Qiziriq badgeQiziriq

Match prediction

  • Aral's perfect home record and Qiziriq's winless away form strongly support the home-winner advice despite the model splitting probability evenly between home and draw.
  • The 50% draw probability likely reflects Aral's tendency to draw away, but Qiziriq's 18 losses in 20 matches make a stalemate less plausible here.
  • Aral's 0.30 home goals-against average against Qiziriq's 0.60 scoring average suggests the visitors will struggle to score, reinforcing the home win.
  • Qiziriq failed to score in 11 of 20 matches, a chronic attacking weakness that undermines any chance of an upset or draw.
  • The lone head-to-head result, a 1-0 Aral away win, is a small sample but aligns with the broader form and quality gap.
  • Aral's late-game defensive vulnerability, conceding 46.67% of goals after the 76th minute, is the main risk to a clean home victory.
Predicted winner
Aral
Betting advice
Winner : Aral
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorAralQiziriq
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack91.0%9.0%
Defence74.0%26.0%
Poisson96.0%4.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total87.0%13.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Aral

Recent form: WWWDWDWWWWWWWDWLWDWW.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Qiziriq

Recent form: LLLLDLWLLLLLLLLLLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Qiziriq 0–1 Aral (29 May 2026)
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