Greece · Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
Apollon Smirnis vs Proodeftiki Prediction
· Georgios Kamaras Stadium
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 50%, so the Apollon win advice rests on venue and matchup signals rather than a decisive probability edge.
- Apollon's perfect form, attack, and defence scores stem from a single away win, a small sample that inflates their apparent superiority.
- Proodeftiki's zero form and attack scores reflect one home loss without scoring, so their weakness is similarly based on minimal evidence.
- The head-to-head record leans heavily toward Apollon, supporting the home winner despite the even win-draw probability split.
- Both teams' recent matches produced two goals or fewer, which supports the under 3.5 goals component of the combo advice.
- The -3.5 goals line requires fewer than four total goals, a threshold consistent with the low-scoring evidence across both sides.
- Predicted winner
- Apollon Smirnis
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Apollon Smirnis and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Apollon Smirnis | Proodeftiki |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| Goals | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| Total | 86.5% | 13.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Apollon Smirnis
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Proodeftiki
Recent form: L.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Proodeftiki 1–2 Apollon Smirnis (04 Feb 2024)
- Apollon Smirnis 1–1 Proodeftiki (30 Sep 2023)
- Apollon Smirnis 3–0 Proodeftiki (03 Jun 2023)
- Proodeftiki 0–3 Apollon Smirnis (29 Jan 2023)


