Greece · Gamma Ethniki - Group 8

Apollon Smirnis vs Proodeftiki Prediction

· Georgios Kamaras Stadium

Apollon Smirnis badgeApollon Smirnis vs Proodeftiki badgeProodeftiki

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 50%, so the Apollon win advice rests on venue and matchup signals rather than a decisive probability edge.
  • Apollon's perfect form, attack, and defence scores stem from a single away win, a small sample that inflates their apparent superiority.
  • Proodeftiki's zero form and attack scores reflect one home loss without scoring, so their weakness is similarly based on minimal evidence.
  • The head-to-head record leans heavily toward Apollon, supporting the home winner despite the even win-draw probability split.
  • Both teams' recent matches produced two goals or fewer, which supports the under 3.5 goals component of the combo advice.
  • The -3.5 goals line requires fewer than four total goals, a threshold consistent with the low-scoring evidence across both sides.
Predicted winner
Apollon Smirnis
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Apollon Smirnis and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorApollon SmirnisProodeftiki
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack100.0%0.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h91.0%9.0%
Goals82.0%18.0%
Total86.5%13.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Apollon Smirnis

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Proodeftiki

Recent form: L.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Proodeftiki 1–2 Apollon Smirnis (04 Feb 2024)
  2. Apollon Smirnis 1–1 Proodeftiki (30 Sep 2023)
  3. Apollon Smirnis 3–0 Proodeftiki (03 Jun 2023)
  4. Proodeftiki 0–3 Apollon Smirnis (29 Jan 2023)
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