Antofagasta vs Universidad de Chile Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Antofagasta's unbeaten eight-match record and perfect home wins support avoiding defeat.
• Antofagasta's superior form, attack, and Poisson metrics outweigh Universidad de Chile's dominant head-to-head record, which reflects mostly older meetings.
• Universidad de Chile's stronger goals output and away scoring average keep the away win probability at 30%, so the draw component remains essential to the advice.
• Both defences concede similarly, but Antofagasta's higher home scoring average and clean-sheet record at home reinforce their edge in this fixture.
• Recent form shows Antofagasta unbeaten across eight while Universidad de Chile lost twice in five, strengthening the case for the home-or-draw selection.
• The head-to-head history favours Universidad de Chile heavily, a conflicting signal that explains why the model stops short of backing an outright Antofagasta win.

Predicted winner

Antofagasta

Betting advice

Double chance : Antofagasta or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Antofagasta 1–1 Universidad de Chile (10 Jul 2022)
2. Universidad de Chile 2–1 Antofagasta (13 Feb 2022)
3. Universidad de Chile 2–2 Antofagasta (03 Oct 2021)
4. Antofagasta 1–2 Universidad de Chile (09 May 2021)
5. Universidad de Chile 3–1 Antofagasta (13 Feb 2021)