Antequera vs Real Jaén Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a draw or Real Jaén away win, assigning 45% to each of those outcomes against only 10% for an Antequera victory, and the double-chance advice follows directly from that split. That stance is broadly reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Real Jaén lead on form (67 versus 33), attack (57 versus 43), defence (67 versus 33), head-to-head (80 versus 20) and goals (100 versus 0), while the Poisson column is the most extreme at 100 versus 0. The team analysis supports the same direction but with more nuance: Real Jaén are unbeaten in four with a WDWW record, three wins and two clean sheets, whereas Antequera's WLDD shows one win, two draws and one defeat. Antequera's goal profile is not obviously weak, since they average 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, but they have kept no clean sheets and failed to score once, which slightly undercuts any case for a home win. Real Jaén also average 2.00 goals scored, yet their defensive numbers are split between a 1.50 home average and a 0.00 away average, so the aggregate 0.80 conceded flatters a small sample of four matches. The last-five records add a conflicting note, because Antequera's most recent outings include draws with Villarreal II and Alcorcon plus a 3-2 win over Ibiza, while Real Jaén's sequence includes a 1-2 home loss to Cordoba alongside three wins. The head-to-head section is thin and partly unusable: one 2019 meeting finished 0-2 to Real Jaén away, but the 2020 fixture has no recorded score, so the 80-20 head-to-head split rests on very little. Overall, the weight of the populated evidence points toward Real Jaén avoiding defeat, though the draw probability and Antequera's habit of scoring mean the double chance is better supported than any claim of away dominance.

Predicted winner

Real Jaén

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Real Jaén

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Real Jaén —–— Antequera (26 Apr 2020)
2. Antequera 0–2 Real Jaén (01 Dec 2019)