Challenge Cup · Scotland
Annan Athletic vs Hibernian U21 Prediction
· Galabank
Annan Athletic vs
Hibernian U21
Current score: Annan Athletic 2–0 Hibernian U21 (Halftime)
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward an Annan Athletic win, but its 50% home and 50% draw probabilities with 0% for Hibernian U21 suggest a cautious rather than emphatic call. That caution is somewhat at odds with the comparison metrics, where Annan dominate form (100 versus 0), attack (88 versus 13), defence (71 versus 29) and Poisson (96 versus 4), while the head-to-head, goals and total-goals comparison fields are all empty or zero and therefore offer no separating signal. Annan's own record is mixed rather than dominant: across four fixtures they have one win, two draws and one loss, with a 4-0 home win over Motherwell U21 and a 2-0 home win over Elgin City offset by away defeats to Forfar Athletic and Kelty Hearts. Their goals analysis reinforces a home-away split, with 3.00 goals scored per home game against 0.50 away, and a 4-0 clean sheet showing they can be productive at Galabank. Hibernian U21's evidence is far more one-sided, as they have lost all four recorded fixtures, failed to score in three of them, and conceded 10 goals at an average of 2.50 per game. Their last five record extends that pattern with five straight defeats, including a 4-0 loss at Clydebank and a 4-1 loss at Alloa Athletic, and they have scored only once in that span. The goals analysis for Hibernian U21 shows that single goal arrived in the 61-75 minute window, while their concessions are spread across the match, which hints at sustained defensive pressure rather than one isolated collapse. Because the head-to-head section is empty, there is no historical meeting data to confirm or contradict the form-based read, so the 50% draw probability may simply reflect the model's uncertainty about a small four-game sample. On balance, the evidence supports Annan as the more plausible winner, but the draw probability and Annan's own mixed form mean the existing advice should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.
- Predicted winner
- Annan Athletic
- Betting advice
- Winner : Annan Athletic
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Annan Athletic | Hibernian U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Defence | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Poisson | 96.0% | 4.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 85.0% | 15.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Annan Athletic
Recent form: LDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Hibernian U21
Recent form: LLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.
