Ankaragücü vs İnegölspor Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the away side carries only a 10% chance.
• Ankaragücü's stronger form and attack ratings support the home side, though their winless home record and two home defeats qualify that edge.
• İnegölspor's three-match winless run and weaker attack rating reinforce the low away probability, despite their unbeaten away draw.
• Both head-to-head meetings ended 2-1 to the away side, a small sample that conflicts with the model's home-leaning probabilities.
• The Poisson split is nearly even at 49 to 51, suggesting the double chance is safer than backing Ankaragücü to win outright.
• Neither side has kept a clean sheet, and İnegölspor concedes heavily after the hour, hinting at late goals without changing the result advice.

Predicted winner

Ankaragücü

Betting advice

Double chance : Ankaragücü or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Ankaragücü 1–2 İnegölspor (12 Apr 2026)
2. İnegölspor 1–2 Ankaragücü (16 Dec 2025)