Russia · Second League - Group 1

Angust Nazran vs Pobeda Prediction

Angust Nazran badgeAngust Nazran vs Pobeda badgePobeda

Match prediction

  • Pobeda's perfect recent form and dominant attack metrics justify favoring them, though the model's 45% away probability shows only modest confidence.
  • The draw carries equal 45% probability, explaining why the safer double-chance advice covers both outcomes rather than backing Pobeda outright.
  • Angust Nazran's five straight defeats and 10% win probability make a home victory the least likely result despite any home advantage.
  • Head-to-head history leans toward Pobeda, yet Angust Nazran won the most recent meeting away, so past results only partially support the pick.
  • Pobeda's strong scoring output contrasts with Angust Nazran's low-scoring profile, supporting Pobeda's edge while leaving the draw plausible.
  • Both sides concede late goals frequently, a shared weakness that could keep this match close and reinforce the draw-or-Pobeda hedge.
Predicted winner
Pobeda
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Pobeda
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorAngust NazranPobeda
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack9.0%91.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson28.0%72.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals14.0%86.0%
Total24.8%75.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Angust Nazran

Recent form: WWLWLWLDLLLLLLDLDDLLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.

Pobeda

Recent form: LLDDLWWWWLWLWDWWLWLWWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Pobeda 0–1 Angust Nazran (28 Mar 2026)
  2. Angust Nazran 0–1 Pobeda (29 Jun 2025)
  3. Pobeda 2–0 Angust Nazran (13 Apr 2025)
  4. Angust Nazran 0–2 Pobeda (31 Aug 2024)
  5. Pobeda 1–0 Angust Nazran (31 Jul 2024)
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