Russia · Second League - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs Pobeda Prediction
Match prediction
- Pobeda's perfect recent form and dominant attack metrics justify favoring them, though the model's 45% away probability shows only modest confidence.
- The draw carries equal 45% probability, explaining why the safer double-chance advice covers both outcomes rather than backing Pobeda outright.
- Angust Nazran's five straight defeats and 10% win probability make a home victory the least likely result despite any home advantage.
- Head-to-head history leans toward Pobeda, yet Angust Nazran won the most recent meeting away, so past results only partially support the pick.
- Pobeda's strong scoring output contrasts with Angust Nazran's low-scoring profile, supporting Pobeda's edge while leaving the draw plausible.
- Both sides concede late goals frequently, a shared weakness that could keep this match close and reinforce the draw-or-Pobeda hedge.
- Predicted winner
- Pobeda
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Pobeda
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Angust Nazran | Pobeda |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 9.0% | 91.0% |
| Defence | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Poisson | 28.0% | 72.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| Total | 24.8% | 75.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Angust Nazran
Recent form: WWLWLWLDLLLLLLDLDDLLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.
Pobeda
Recent form: LLDDLWWWWLWLWDWWLWLWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Pobeda 0–1 Angust Nazran (28 Mar 2026)
- Angust Nazran 0–1 Pobeda (29 Jun 2025)
- Pobeda 2–0 Angust Nazran (13 Apr 2025)
- Angust Nazran 0–2 Pobeda (31 Aug 2024)
- Pobeda 1–0 Angust Nazran (31 Jul 2024)


