World · CONCACAF Nations League

Anguilla vs Antigua and Barbuda Prediction

Anguilla badgeAnguilla vs Antigua and Barbuda badgeAntigua and Barbuda

Match prediction

  • Antigua and Barbuda's perfect form and 5-0 win over Anguilla three days ago justify the model's 50% away probability despite the equally high draw share.
  • Anguilla's five-goal defeat and zero goals scored in that same fixture support the +1.5 goals component, since Antigua's attack should again breach a defence conceding heavily.
  • The model's 0% home win probability aligns with Anguilla's five-match losing run and failure to score in four of those games.
  • Antigua's away loss to Aruba shows they are not infallible travellers, which tempers the combo advice even as the head-to-head record remains one-sided.
  • Both teams' goal samples are extremely small, so the 50-50 away-draw split reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear Antigua dominance.
  • Antigua's goals against arrive late while Anguilla concede early, suggesting the +1.5 line could be cleared before half-time if the pattern repeats.
Predicted winner
Antigua and Barbuda
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Antigua and Barbuda and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAnguillaAntigua and Barbuda
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack0.0%100.0%
Defence17.0%83.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total17.0%83.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Anguilla

Recent form: L.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Antigua and Barbuda

Recent form: LW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Antigua and Barbuda 5–0 Anguilla (27 Sep 2026)
  2. Antigua and Barbuda 6–0 Anguilla (04 Sep 2014)
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