Andratx vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Andratx via a double chance with under -3.5 goals, yet its own probabilities are nearly flat at 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, so the advice reflects a marginal edge rather than a clear favourite. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Ibiza Islas Pitiusas lead form 69 to 31, attack 67 to 33 and defence 67 to 33, while Andratx counter with a 100 to 0 Poisson split and a 71 to 29 head-to-head advantage. The goals comparison is more balanced at 67 to 33 in Andratx's favour, and the total metric actually tilts slightly to Ibiza at 53 to 47, which helps explain why the model pairs its double chance with a low-scoring ceiling. Andratx's three league matches produced a win, draw and loss with only three goals scored and four conceded, including a 1-0 home win over Llosetense and a 2-0 away defeat at Porreres, so their profile is modest rather than dominant. Ibiza arrive with a perfect WWW league record, six goals scored and two conceded, and their away form is especially sharp given a 3-1 win at Migjorn, though their only recent loss came against Ibiza in a separate August fixture. The last-five records extend that contrast: Andratx show three wins, one draw and one loss across a longer span, while Ibiza show four wins and one loss, so the away side's form edge rests on a small but unbeaten league sample. The goals analysis qualifies the low-scoring advice, since Andratx have stayed under 2.5 goals in all three matches while Ibiza have gone over 2.5 only once, and both teams' totals sit under 3.5 in every recorded match. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight to Ibiza's form, with Andratx winning three of the last five meetings, drawing twice, and keeping clean sheets in both 2-0 home wins, although the most recent encounter in April 2026 ended 2-2. Overall, the evidence supports a cautious Andratx-or-draw position with few goals, but the narrow probabilities, Ibiza's perfect league start and the split comparison metrics mean that conclusion is far from secure.

Predicted winner

Andratx

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Andratx or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2–2 Andratx (26 Apr 2026)
2. Andratx 2–0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (26 Oct 2025)
3. Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 0–2 Andratx (27 Apr 2025)
4. Andratx 2–0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (15 Dec 2024)
5. Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2–0 Andratx (15 May 2022)