World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Andorra U21 vs Moldova U21 Prediction

· Estadi Nacional

Andorra U21 badgeAndorra U21 vs Moldova U21 badgeMoldova U21

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since only 10% is assigned to Moldova.
  • Andorra's strong home record, with two wins and a draw from three, supports the home side of that double chance.
  • Moldova's away form is weak, with no wins and two draws from four, reinforcing the low away probability.
  • The head-to-head sample is a single Moldova home win, too small to outweigh Andorra's broader home advantage.
  • Andorra's attack and defence comparison scores dominate Moldova's, though their away scoring drought shows the venue dependence.
  • Both teams' recent form is mixed, so the draw component of the advice remains a meaningful hedge.
Predicted winner
Andorra U21
Betting advice
Double chance : Andorra U21 or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorAndorra U21Moldova U21
Form78.0%22.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence80.0%20.0%
Poisson93.0%7.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total79.5%20.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Andorra U21

Recent form: LLLLWLWD.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Moldova U21

Recent form: WLLLLDDL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Moldova U21 3–0 Andorra U21 (10 Jun 2025)
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