Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Andes vs Gijón Industrial Prediction
Match prediction
- Gijón Industrial's stronger recent form and attack ratings support the double-chance advice, though their away defeats and late goals conceded keep the draw plausible.
- Andes have failed to score in both away matches and average only half a goal per game, undermining any case for a home win.
- The model gives equal 45% probabilities to away win and draw, so the double chance reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear superiority.
- Both defences rate identically at 50, and both concede 1.5 goals per game, which explains why a draw carries as much weight as an away victory.
- Gijón Industrial concede most goals after the 75th minute, a late-game vulnerability that could let winless Andes salvage a draw.
- The Poisson calculation actually favours Andes 56 to 44, a conflicting signal that justifies the cautious draw-or-away advice over a straight away win.
- Predicted winner
- Gijón Industrial
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Gijón Industrial
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Andes | Gijón Industrial |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Attack | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Andes
Recent form: LLDL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Gijón Industrial
Recent form: WLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


