Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

Andes vs Gijón Industrial Prediction

Andes badgeAndes vs Gijón Industrial badgeGijón Industrial

Match prediction

  • Gijón Industrial's stronger recent form and attack ratings support the double-chance advice, though their away defeats and late goals conceded keep the draw plausible.
  • Andes have failed to score in both away matches and average only half a goal per game, undermining any case for a home win.
  • The model gives equal 45% probabilities to away win and draw, so the double chance reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear superiority.
  • Both defences rate identically at 50, and both concede 1.5 goals per game, which explains why a draw carries as much weight as an away victory.
  • Gijón Industrial concede most goals after the 75th minute, a late-game vulnerability that could let winless Andes salvage a draw.
  • The Poisson calculation actually favours Andes 56 to 44, a conflicting signal that justifies the cautious draw-or-away advice over a straight away win.
Predicted winner
Gijón Industrial
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Gijón Industrial
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorAndesGijón Industrial
Form20.0%80.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson56.0%44.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total38.8%61.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Andes

Recent form: LLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Gijón Industrial

Recent form: WLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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