Andernach W vs SC Freiburg W Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output gives SC Freiburg W a 50% win probability and Andernach W 0%, with the remaining 50% assigned to a draw, so the advice of a draw-or-Freiburg double chance combined with under 3.5 goals reflects a cautious lean toward the away side rather than outright dominance. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Freiburg score 100 on defence and head-to-head but only 60 on goals and totals, while Andernach post 100 on form and attack yet 0 on defence, Poisson and head-to-head, a split that makes the two teams' profiles look contradictory rather than clearly separated. The head-to-head record offers only a single 2022 DFB Pokal meeting, which Freiburg won 3-2 away at Andernach, so the 100% away head-to-head figure rests on an extremely small sample and should be treated as suggestive rather than decisive. Freiburg's team analysis shows one away fixture played, won 2-1, with two goals scored and one conceded, and their goals analysis locates both goals in the 46-60 minute window and the single concession in the 76-90 window, hinting at a compact, low-volume attacking profile. Andernach's team analysis is entirely empty, with no fixtures played, no form string and no goals recorded, so their 100 form and attack ratings in the comparison table cannot be corroborated by any underlying match data. The last-five records add useful texture: Andernach have two wins and three defeats, including a 6-0 loss at Bochum and a 2-1 home win over Carl Zeiss Jena, while Freiburg have two wins, two defeats and a draw, with a 3-0 home win over Mainz and a 4-1 loss at Bayern Munich. Those recent results suggest both sides are capable of scoring but also vulnerable, which sits awkwardly with the under 3.5 goals component of the advice even though Freiburg's own goals data shows their only match stayed under 2.5. Overall, the evidence supports a tentative draw-or-Freiburg position more through the head-to-head and defensive rating than through consistent form, while the empty Andernach dataset and the single-match samples mean the probabilities should be read as low-confidence estimates rather than firm expectations.

Predicted winner

SC Freiburg W

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg W and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Andernach W 2–3 SC Freiburg W (11 Sep 2022)