Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Ammerthal vs Neudrossenfeld Prediction

Ammerthal badgeAmmerthal vs Neudrossenfeld badgeNeudrossenfeld

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% away and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the equal split signals genuine uncertainty rather than clear away superiority.
  • Neudrossenfeld's stronger recent form and superior head-to-head record support the away lean, but their poor away form of five losses in six tempers that confidence.
  • Ammerthal's attack rating advantage conflicts with their weak home defence, which has conceded heavily, explaining why the model still favours the away side despite home attacking potential.
  • Both teams' goal profiles show most matches staying under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest consistent with the draw component of the advice.
  • Ammerthal's recent wins against Ingolstadt II and Nordlingen show they can score, but heavy home defeats reveal volatility that keeps the home win probability low.
  • The head-to-head record leans toward Neudrossenfeld with one win and three draws, reinforcing that avoiding defeat is the safer expectation than outright victory.
Predicted winner
Neudrossenfeld
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Neudrossenfeld
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorAmmerthalNeudrossenfeld
Form46.0%54.0%
Attack62.0%38.0%
Defence41.0%59.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2h33.0%67.0%
Goals44.0%56.0%
Total46.3%53.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Ammerthal

Recent form: WDLWLDLLLLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Neudrossenfeld

Recent form: WLLLWLLWLWLD.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Neudrossenfeld 2–1 Ammerthal (02 Nov 2024)
  2. Ammerthal 1–1 Neudrossenfeld (28 Jul 2024)
  3. Neudrossenfeld 1–1 Ammerthal (30 Apr 2024)
  4. Ammerthal 1–1 Neudrossenfeld (06 Oct 2023)
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