Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver
Amkar vs Torpedo Miass Prediction
· Zvezda Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% Torpedo Miass split, with Amkar at only 10%, frames the double-chance advice as protection against a genuinely uncertain winner.
- Torpedo Miass's superior form, attack, defence, and head-to-head scores all point the same direction, supporting their inclusion in the double chance.
- Amkar's strong Poisson rating and higher scoring average conflict with their weak form and defensive numbers, which is why the draw carries equal probability.
- Torpedo Miass's away record is poor, with three losses and no clean sheets on the road, qualifying confidence in an outright away win.
- Both teams' goal distributions show most matches exceeding 1.5 goals, making the +1.5 goals component of the advice well supported.
- The recent head-to-head is a 5-0 Torpedo Miass win, but that single result is a small sample against a longer mixed history.
- Predicted winner
- Torpedo Miass
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Torpedo Miass and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Amkar | Torpedo Miass |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Attack | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Defence | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Poisson | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Total | 40.7% | 59.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Amkar
Recent form: WWWWLDLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Torpedo Miass
Recent form: LLLLWWLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Torpedo Miass 5–0 Amkar (22 Aug 2026)
- Amkar 1–0 Torpedo Miass (03 Sep 2024)
- Torpedo Miass 0–0 Amkar (22 Aug 2023)
- Amkar 1–1 Torpedo Miass (04 Jun 2023)
- Torpedo Miass 2–1 Amkar (02 Apr 2023)