Iran · Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan Prediction
· Imam Khomeini
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Aluminium Arak or draw
Match prediction
- Aluminium Arak's unbeaten six-match form and superior defensive record support the double-chance advice, though their three home draws show the win is far from certain.
- Malavan's head-to-head edge conflicts with their poor current form, but the recent 0-1 away win at this venue warns against dismissing them entirely.
- Both teams' goal profiles point to a low-scoring affair, with neither side exceeding 2.5 goals in any match, reinforcing the draw component of the advice.
- Aluminium Arak's attack is modest at home, and their tendency to draw rather than win justifies the cautious double-chance selection over a straight home victory.
- Malavan's three losses in five and zero clean sheets suggest vulnerability, yet their head-to-head record shows they can frustrate Aluminium Arak at this ground.
- The equal 45 percent home and draw probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty, making the combined double-chance advice the model's sensible risk-managed output.
- Predicted winner
- Aluminium Arak
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Aluminium Arak or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Aluminium Arak | Malavan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Poisson | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| H2h | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Aluminium Arak
Recent form: WDWDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Malavan
Recent form: DWLLLW.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Aluminium Arak 0–1 Malavan (26 Dec 2025)
- Aluminium Arak 1–1 Malavan (22 Nov 2025)
- Aluminium Arak 1–1 Malavan (08 May 2025)
- Malavan 1–1 Aluminium Arak (27 Dec 2024)
- Malavan 1–1 Aluminium Arak (01 Jun 2024)


