Alta vs Lillestrøm II Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Alta avoiding defeat, with a 45% home win and 45% draw against only 10% for Lillestrøm II, and the advised combo pairs that double chance with over 1.5 goals. That stance is broadly reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Alta leads on form (68 vs 32), defence (83 vs 17), Poisson (64 vs 36), head-to-head (100 vs 0) and overall totals (65.4 vs 34.6), though Lillestrøm II's superior attack score (55 vs 45) is the one clear counterweight. The team analysis sharpens the contrast: Alta are unbeaten at home across ten fixtures with seven wins, three draws and five home clean sheets, while Lillestrøm II have no draws at all in twenty matches, splitting nine wins and eleven losses, which makes the 45% draw probability look generous relative to their profile. Alta's goals analysis supports the defensive side of the case, with just 1.00 conceded per home game and only five of twenty matches seeing them concede more than 2.5, whereas Lillestrøm II average 3.30 scored but also 2.30 conceded, and their 45 goals against include a heavy late-match concentration. The last-five records add nuance rather than certainty: Alta have three wins, a draw and a loss with only one clean sheet in that run, while Lillestrøm II have two wins and three defeats, including an 11-0 home win over Bossekop that inflates their attacking numbers but sits alongside a 2-4 loss to Fauske Sprint. The single head-to-head meeting, a 4-2 away win for Alta at Lillestrøm II in May 2026, explains the 100-0 split but is a one-match sample and should not be treated as decisive. The goals evidence does align with the +1.5 component, since Alta have gone over 1.5 in 14 of 20 matches and Lillestrøm II in 14 of 20, and both teams' concession patterns point to goals arriving, particularly after the 75th minute. Overall, the weight of form, home defensive solidity and head-to-head favours the advised Alta-or-draw selection, but Lillestrøm II's scoring output and Alta's recent failure to keep clean sheets mean the draw portion of the double chance carries real risk rather than being a comfortable outcome.

Predicted winner

Alta

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Alta or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Lillestrøm II 2–4 Alta (30 May 2026)