Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Coruña Prediction
Match prediction
- Alondras' perfect recent form and superior attack and defence ratings justify the home-or-draw double chance, though the 45% draw probability signals the model sees this as far from certain.
- Coruna's four straight defeats and zero form score sharply underpin the low 10% away win probability, making the double chance the safer side of the advice.
- Both teams' goal profiles support the over 2.5 leg, with Alondras averaging 2.5 goals scored and Coruna conceding 2.8 per game.
- Alondras' 2-6 home loss to Pontevedra II shows their defence can collapse, which tempers confidence in the home win despite the strong overall metrics.
- The head-to-head record favours Alondras heavily, with a win and a draw in two meetings, reinforcing the home-or-draw component of the advice.
- Coruna score consistently but concede late goals frequently, suggesting they can contribute to the over 2.5 total even in defeat.
- Predicted winner
- Alondras
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Alondras or draw and +2.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +2.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Alondras | Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Poisson | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Total | 63.2% | 37.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Alondras
Recent form: LWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Coruña
Recent form: LLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Alondras 3–2 Coruña (22 Feb 2026)
- Coruña 2–2 Alondras (05 Oct 2025)


