Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

Alondras vs Coruña Prediction

Alondras badgeAlondras vs Coruña badgeCoruña

Match prediction

  • Alondras' perfect recent form and superior attack and defence ratings justify the home-or-draw double chance, though the 45% draw probability signals the model sees this as far from certain.
  • Coruna's four straight defeats and zero form score sharply underpin the low 10% away win probability, making the double chance the safer side of the advice.
  • Both teams' goal profiles support the over 2.5 leg, with Alondras averaging 2.5 goals scored and Coruna conceding 2.8 per game.
  • Alondras' 2-6 home loss to Pontevedra II shows their defence can collapse, which tempers confidence in the home win despite the strong overall metrics.
  • The head-to-head record favours Alondras heavily, with a win and a draw in two meetings, reinforcing the home-or-draw component of the advice.
  • Coruna score consistently but concede late goals frequently, suggesting they can contribute to the over 2.5 total even in defeat.
Predicted winner
Alondras
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Alondras or draw and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAlondrasCoruña
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence58.0%42.0%
Poisson59.0%41.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total63.2%37.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Alondras

Recent form: LWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Coruña

Recent form: LLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Alondras 3–2 Coruña (22 Feb 2026)
  2. Coruña 2–2 Alondras (05 Oct 2025)
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