Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Almudévar vs Illueca Prediction
Match prediction
- Almudévar's perfect home record, with two clean sheets and five goals scored, supports the double-chance advice despite their mixed overall form.
- Illueca's away form is contradictory: a 3-0 win at Belchite but heavy losses elsewhere, suggesting volatility rather than reliable strength.
- Almudévar's attack and defence metrics clearly outrank Illueca's, reinforcing the model's decision to favour the home side.
- The head-to-head record is split evenly, with Illueca winning recent meetings, which tempers confidence in an outright home victory.
- Illueca failed to score in three of four league games, undermining their chances of exploiting any Almudévar defensive lapse.
- The draw probability matching the home win at 45% explains why the advice covers both outcomes rather than backing Almudévar alone.
- Predicted winner
- Almudévar
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Almudévar or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Almudévar | Illueca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Defence | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 62.4% | 37.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
Almudévar
Recent form: WLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Illueca
Recent form: LLLW.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Almudévar 0–1 Illueca (23 Apr 2026)
- Illueca 0–1 Almudévar (21 Dec 2025)
- Illueca 1–1 Almudévar (25 Feb 2024)
- Almudévar 0–1 Illueca (08 Oct 2023)
- Illueca 0–4 Almudévar (08 Jan 2023)