Almere City FC vs FC Volendam Prediction
· Yanmar Stadion
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, though Volendam's perfect home record and Almere's away wins show venue splits complicate that edge.
- Almere's superior defence rating and Poisson share support the home side, but Volendam's stronger attack rating signals the away threat is real.
- Volendam's away form is winless with heavy defeats, while Almere's away wins and clean sheets suggest the hosts avoid defeat more comfortably.
- Both teams' recent matches and goal distributions point to goals, supporting the +1.5 line despite the double chance being the safer component.
- Head-to-head is perfectly split and includes draws, so the draw probability is credible and the double chance appropriately hedges the home pick.
- Almere's late-game scoring concentration against Volendam's late concessions suggests goals may arrive after halftime, reinforcing the over 1.5 advice.
- Predicted winner
- Almere City FC
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Almere City FC or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Almere City FC | FC Volendam |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Poisson | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Almere City FC
Recent form: DWWWLWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
FC Volendam
Recent form: LWLWLWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Almere City FC 2–1 FC Volendam (15 Jul 2026)
- Almere City FC 1–1 FC Volendam (31 Mar 2024)
- FC Volendam 0–1 Almere City FC (14 Jan 2024)
- Almere City FC 2–3 FC Volendam (17 Dec 2021)
- FC Volendam 3–2 Almere City FC (01 Oct 2021)