Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys Prediction

Match prediction

• Alianza Atletico's perfect six-win form and superior attack, defence, and Poisson ratings justify favoring them, though the 45% draw probability explains the double-chance advice.
• Sport Boys' recent away form includes a loss and two draws, suggesting they can score but rarely dominate, which supports the +1.5 goals element.
• The head-to-head record heavily favors Alianza Atletico, yet Sport Boys' 5-2 win in the most recent meeting warns against treating home dominance as certain.
• Both teams score consistently and neither has failed to score, making the +1.5 goals threshold well supported despite the modest 2.2 to 2.5 goal averages.
• Alianza Atletico's goals cluster late while Sport Boys concede frequently after the 75th minute, hinting at late goals that reinforce the over 1.5 selection.
• The 45% draw probability nearly matches the home win, so the double chance correctly hedges against a stalemate rather than backing Alianza Atletico outright.

Predicted winner

Alianza Atletico

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Alianza Atletico or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Sport Boys 2–5 Alianza Atletico (27 Sep 2026)
2. Alianza Atletico 0–1 Sport Boys (19 Apr 2026)
3. Sport Boys 0–1 Alianza Atletico (16 Nov 2025)
4. Alianza Atletico 1–0 Sport Boys (12 Jul 2025)
5. Alianza Atletico 2–0 Sport Boys (24 Aug 2024)