Aliağa FAŞ vs Şanlıurfaspor Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Aliağa FAŞ avoiding defeat, with a 35% home win and 35% draw against Şanlıurfaspor’s 30%, so the double-chance advice reflects a narrow edge rather than clear dominance. That edge is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Aliağa FAŞ lead form 55 to 45 and attack 55 to 45, while Şanlıurfaspor’s stronger defensive score of 60 against 40 introduces a counterweight that could keep the match tighter than the attacking numbers imply. The Poisson split of 100 to 0 is the most extreme value in the evidence and strongly favours the home side, but it sits alongside head-to-head and goals comparison scores of 0 to 0 for both teams, meaning those two sections offer no separating signal. Aliağa FAŞ’s three-match form of WWL includes a 2-0 home win over Isparta 32 Spor and a 4-1 away win at Arnavutköy Belediyespor, yet it also contains a 5-0 away loss to Elazığspor, showing a high-variance profile rather than consistent control. Their goals analysis supports that volatility: they average 2.00 goals for and 2.00 against, with all six goals conceded coming away from home and none at home, so their defensive record is heavily venue-dependent. Şanlıurfaspor’s WDD form is unbeaten across three matches, with a 1-0 home win over Ankaraspor and draws of 1-1 against Adana Demirspor and 3-3 away to Sebat Gençlikspor, suggesting resilience but also an inability to close games out. Their goals analysis shows 1.70 scored and 1.30 conceded per match, and their away figures are notably loose at 3.00 goals for and 3.00 against, which could expose them if Aliağa FAŞ reproduce their home scoring rate. The last-five records extend the picture: Aliağa FAŞ add two goalless and 1-1 draws from late April and early May, while Şanlıurfaspor add a 1-1 draw at Muğlaspor and a 0-1 home loss to Muğlaspor, so both samples mix current-season form with older results. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can confirm or contradict the model’s slight home preference, and the absence of an under-over prediction means the total-goals market is not part of the existing advice. Overall, the probabilities, form and attack metrics point mildly toward Aliağa FAŞ or draw, but Şanlıurfaspor’s superior defensive score, unbeaten run and Aliağa FAŞ’s away collapse make that lean fragile rather than secure.

Predicted winner

Aliağa FAŞ

Betting advice

Double chance : Aliağa FAŞ or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.