Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Alhaurino vs Melilla Prediction

Alhaurino badgeAlhaurino vs Melilla badgeMelilla

Match prediction

  • Melilla's perfect four-match form and 9-2 goal record sharply outweigh Alhaurino's single win, supporting the away side as the stronger pick.
  • Alhaurino's attack has produced just two goals, both at home, and failed to score in three of four, limiting their winning potential.
  • Melilla's defensive record of two clean sheets and only two conceded strengthens the case for the draw-or-away double chance.
  • Alhaurino concede most goals late, with 80% after the 61st minute, suggesting Melilla can capitalise as the match progresses.
  • The model's 50-50 split between away win and draw, with zero home probability, reflects Melilla's dominance but acknowledges Alhaurino's home resilience.
  • Alhaurino's two home matches yielded a win and a draw without defeat, a small sample that justifies covering the draw alongside Melilla.
Predicted winner
Melilla
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Melilla
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorAlhaurinoMelilla
Form25.0%75.0%
Attack18.0%82.0%
Defence29.0%71.0%
Poisson34.0%66.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total26.5%73.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Alhaurino

Recent form: DLWL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Melilla

Recent form: WWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Loading interactive prediction…