World · Friendlies

Algeria vs Niger Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Algeria and -3.5 goals

Algeria badgeAlgeria vs Niger badgeNiger

Match prediction

  • Algeria's perfect defensive record across four matches, with clean sheets in every game, underpins the model's confidence in a comfortable home win.
  • Niger's attack has produced just one goal in four matches and failed to score three times, making an Algeria clean sheet the central pillar of the prediction.
  • The head-to-head record heavily favours Algeria, including a 6-1 and 5-0 home win, supporting the margin implied by the -3.5 goals advice.
  • Algeria's goal distribution shows only half their matches exceeding 3.5 total goals, which tempers the under-3.5 component of the combo advice.
  • The model's 50 percent draw probability alongside 50 percent home win signals genuine uncertainty about the outright result despite Algeria's statistical dominance.
  • Niger's recent form of two draws and two losses, with just one goal scored, reinforces the expectation of a low-scoring away performance.
Predicted winner
Algeria
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Algeria and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAlgeriaNiger
Form83.0%17.0%
Attack92.0%8.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h93.0%7.0%
Goals92.0%8.0%
Total90.0%10.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Algeria

Recent form: WDWW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Niger

Recent form: DLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Algeria 0–0 Niger (18 Aug 2025)
  2. Niger 0–1 Algeria (27 Mar 2023)
  3. Algeria 2–1 Niger (23 Mar 2023)
  4. Algeria 5–0 Niger (31 Jan 2023)
  5. Niger 0–4 Algeria (12 Oct 2021)
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