Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Calahorra Prediction
Match prediction
- Calahorra's stronger attack and form ratings, plus superior Poisson share, justify favoring them despite Alfaro's home advantage.
- The near-even draw and away probabilities, with Alfaro's low win chance, support the double-chance advice over a straight Calahorra win.
- Both teams scoring in every recent match and Calahorra's high goal output make the +1.5 goals component well aligned with evidence.
- Calahorra's away defensive vulnerability, conceding 2.5 per away game, tempers confidence in a clean away victory.
- Alfaro's perfect scoring record but modest totals suggest they can contribute to goals without necessarily winning.
- Head-to-head draws and Alfaro's home resilience indicate the draw half of the double chance carries genuine weight.
- Predicted winner
- Calahorra
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Calahorra and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Alfaro | Calahorra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Alfaro
Recent form: DWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Calahorra
Recent form: LWWW.
Average goals scored: 3.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Alfaro 0–0 Calahorra (23 Feb 2025)
- Calahorra 0–0 Alfaro (13 Oct 2024)