Alcione vs Trento Prediction
· Stadio Ernesto Breda
Match prediction
- Trento's unbeaten record and five clean sheets justify the draw-or-away advice despite equal 45% probabilities.
- Alcione's weak defence rating and 2.00 home goals-against average expose them, though Trento's modest 0.70 away scoring tempers outright win confidence.
- The 45% draw probability reflects both teams' draw-heavy form, with Alcione drawing four and Trento drawing four of seven.
- Head-to-head favours Trento at 75%, but Alcione's home win in the most recent Breda meeting shows venue-specific resistance.
- Trento's attack matches Alcione's at 50%, so the edge rests on defensive superiority rather than offensive dominance.
- Alcione's late-game scoring concentration suggests they can threaten, supporting the draw component over a Trento-only bet.
- Predicted winner
- Trento
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Trento
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Alcione | Trento |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Poisson | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| H2h | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 35.0% | 65.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Alcione
Recent form: WDDWDLD.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Trento
Recent form: WDWDDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Trento 1–0 Alcione (04 Apr 2026)
- Alcione 2–0 Trento (30 Nov 2025)
- Trento 1–0 Alcione (17 Mar 2025)
- Alcione 0–1 Trento (02 Nov 2024)