Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Alcantarilla vs Santa Cruz Prediction

Alcantarilla badgeAlcantarilla vs Santa Cruz badgeSanta Cruz

Match prediction

  • Alcantarilla's unbeaten four-match start and three clean sheets justify the draw-inclusive double chance despite Santa Cruz's superior attack rating.
  • Santa Cruz scores freely but concedes 1.8 per game without a clean sheet, so their attacking edge does not clearly outweigh Alcantarilla's defensive solidity.
  • The model rates home and draw equally at 45 percent, making the double chance the natural expression of an even contest rather than a confident home win.
  • Alcantarilla's perfect home defence and Santa Cruz's leaky away record support the advice, though the visitors' scoring form keeps a draw plausible.
  • With no head-to-head history and only four matches played, the evidence base is thin, so the probabilities should be treated as indicative rather than decisive.
  • Santa Cruz's goals cluster late and early, suggesting Alcantarilla must sustain concentration across the whole match for the double chance to hold.
Predicted winner
Alcantarilla
Betting advice
Double chance : Alcantarilla or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorAlcantarillaSanta Cruz
Form62.0%38.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence88.0%13.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total62.0%38.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Alcantarilla

Recent form: DDWW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Santa Cruz

Recent form: LWDD.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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