Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Santa Cruz Prediction
Match prediction
- Alcantarilla's unbeaten four-match start and three clean sheets justify the draw-inclusive double chance despite Santa Cruz's superior attack rating.
- Santa Cruz scores freely but concedes 1.8 per game without a clean sheet, so their attacking edge does not clearly outweigh Alcantarilla's defensive solidity.
- The model rates home and draw equally at 45 percent, making the double chance the natural expression of an even contest rather than a confident home win.
- Alcantarilla's perfect home defence and Santa Cruz's leaky away record support the advice, though the visitors' scoring form keeps a draw plausible.
- With no head-to-head history and only four matches played, the evidence base is thin, so the probabilities should be treated as indicative rather than decisive.
- Santa Cruz's goals cluster late and early, suggesting Alcantarilla must sustain concentration across the whole match for the double chance to hold.
- Predicted winner
- Alcantarilla
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Alcantarilla or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Alcantarilla | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Defence | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Alcantarilla
Recent form: DDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Santa Cruz
Recent form: LWDD.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


