World · UEFA Nations League

Albania vs San Marino Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Albania and +1.5 goals

Albania badgeAlbania vs San Marino badgeSan Marino

Match prediction

  • Albania's perfect recent form and clean sheets in both wins contrast sharply with San Marino's two heavy defeats without scoring.
  • The model's 50% draw probability conflicts with the one-sided comparison metrics, suggesting caution despite Albania's clear edge.
  • San Marino's ten goals conceded across two home losses, including a 0-7 defeat, support the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Albania's 3-0 win at San Marino in September, plus a 5-0 home victory in 2021, anchors the head-to-head dominance.
  • Albania's goals are spread across the match, with 40% in the 16-30 window, indicating sustained scoring potential for the over line.
  • San Marino's failure to score in both recent matches and across their last five makes an Albania clean sheet plausible within the combo.
Predicted winner
Albania
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Albania and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAlbaniaSan Marino
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack100.0%0.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h91.0%9.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total91.0%9.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Albania

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

San Marino

Recent form: LL.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. San Marino 0–3 Albania (29 Sep 2026)
  2. Albania 5–0 San Marino (08 Sep 2021)
  3. San Marino 0–2 Albania (31 Mar 2021)
  4. San Marino —–— Albania (27 Mar 2020)
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