Italy · Serie D - Girone G

Albalonga vs Anzio Prediction

Albalonga badgeAlbalonga vs Anzio badgeAnzio

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even probabilities and double-chance advice reflect genuine uncertainty, since Albalonga's home edge is offset by Anzio's stronger head-to-head and goals records.
  • Albalonga's superior attack and defensive metrics support the home side, yet their winless home record and lack of clean sheets temper that advantage.
  • Anzio's away form is the key contradiction: no away wins and zero away goals scored undercut their favorable head-to-head and goals-based ratings.
  • The draw carries meaningful weight because both teams have drawn recently and Albalonga's home matches have produced low-scoring, tight results.
  • Albalonga's tendency to concede early and Anzio's late goals suggest the match could stay balanced, reinforcing the cautious double-chance selection.
  • Small samples of five matches mean the head-to-head and form splits should be treated as directional rather than decisive for the prediction.
Predicted winner
Albalonga
Betting advice
Double chance : Albalonga or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorAlbalongaAnzio
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence42.0%58.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total40.8%59.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Albalonga

Recent form: WWLDD.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Anzio

Recent form: DLWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Albalonga 1–3 Anzio (11 Jan 2026)
  2. Anzio 0–0 Albalonga (14 Sep 2025)
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