Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Albacete II vs Atlético Paso Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model favours Albacete II as the winner, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, so the advice rests on a narrow edge rather than clear dominance, with Atlético Paso at only 10%. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Albacete II lead on form (80.00 vs 20.00), attack (100.00 vs 0.00) and defence (25.00 vs 75.00), yet the Poisson, head-to-head and goals columns all read 0.00 for both sides, meaning those inputs contribute no separating signal. The overall totals are nearly level at 52.50 versus 47.50, which qualifies the lopsided category scores and suggests the aggregate picture is closer than the headline advice implies. Albacete II's three league matches produced a DWL form line with one home win (4-3) and one away clean sheet, but also a 6-1 away defeat, so their attacking output is volatile and their defence has conceded three goals per game on average. Atlético Paso's LDL record is more concerning for the away side: they have failed to score in all three league matches, lost both home games including 0-2, and their only point came from a 0-0 away draw, giving them a goals-for average of 0.00. The goals analysis sharpens this contrast, with Albacete II scoring five goals across three games (1.70 per match) while conceding nine at 3.00 per game, and Atlético Paso scoring none while conceding three at 1.00 per game. Albacete II's goal timing shows two of their five goals arriving in the 61-75 window, whereas Atlético Paso's three conceded goals are spread evenly across the 0-15, 46-60 and 61-75 periods, hinting at late-game vulnerability on both sides. The last-five records extend the pattern: Albacete II have W, L, D, W, L with a 4-3 home win and a 6-1 away loss, while Atlético Paso have L, D, L, D, W with only one win and three scoreless outings. No head-to-head record is available, so the fixture has no historical basis to confirm or contradict the model's lean toward Albacete II, and the 45% draw probability remains a plausible alternative given both teams' inconsistency.
- Predicted winner
- Albacete II
- Betting advice
- Winner : Albacete II
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Albacete II | Atlético Paso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Albacete II
Recent form: DWL.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Atlético Paso
Recent form: LDL.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


