Alanya 1221 FK vs Etimesgut SK Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model points to a draw-or-Etimesgut SK double chance, with the probabilities split evenly at 50% draw and 50% away while Alanya 1221 FK is given 0%, so the advice is effectively a bet against the home side rather than a strong call on either outcome. That framing is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Etimesgut lead on form (100.00 versus 0.00), attack (75.00 versus 25.00), defence (91.00 versus 9.00) and total (83.00 versus 17.00), although the Poisson, head-to-head and goals columns all read 0.00 for both teams and therefore add no separating signal. The team analysis explains the gap: Alanya have lost all three league games (LLL) with no clean sheets and only one goal scored, while Etimesgut are WLW with two wins, two clean sheets and a single defeat. Alanya's goals analysis is especially bleak, showing one goal for and ten against across three matches, an average of 3.30 conceded per game, and they have failed to score in two of three. Etimesgut's defensive numbers are far tighter at 0.30 conceded per game, but their attacking output of 1.00 per game is modest and all three of their goals came at home, with none away. The last-five records qualify the headline form: Alanya's run is four defeats and a goalless draw, including a 0-3 home loss to Balıkesirspor and a 4-0 away loss to Eskişehirspor, whereas Etimesgut's three wins in five were all by 1-0 or 2-0 scorelines and both recent defeats came away. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical record to confirm or contradict the model's lean. Taken together, the evidence supports the double chance mainly because Alanya's collapse in both boxes makes a home win look unlikely, but Etimesgut's low scoring rate and away defeats mean the draw half of the advice carries real weight rather than the away win being assured.

Predicted winner

Etimesgut SK

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Etimesgut SK

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.