Russia · Second League A - Division A Gold
Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Sokol Saratov Prediction
· Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight home bet, since neither outcome dominates.
- Alaniya's superior form, attack, defence, and Poisson ratings all favour the home side, supporting the advice despite only two wins in eleven.
- Both teams have drawn six times, and Alaniya's four-match draw streak plus Sokol's five straight draws reinforce the draw component of the advice.
- Sokol's away record of no wins and two goals per away game undermines their 10% win probability, strengthening the double chance selection.
- Head-to-head is mixed with recent meetings decided by single goals, so the 62% home edge is modest rather than decisive.
- Low goal totals, with most matches under 2.5 goals, suggest a tight contest where avoiding defeat matters more than outright victory.
- Predicted winner
- Alaniya Vladikavkaz
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Alaniya Vladikavkaz or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | FK Sokol Saratov |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Defence | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Poisson | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Recent form: LWDLWDDDDLD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
FK Sokol Saratov
Recent form: DLDWLDLDDLD.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- FK Sokol Saratov 2–1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz (08 Aug 2026)
- Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2–1 FK Sokol Saratov (22 Mar 2025)
- FK Sokol Saratov 0–1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz (20 Oct 2024)
- Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0–0 FK Sokol Saratov (10 Mar 2024)
- FK Sokol Saratov 0–0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz (02 Oct 2023)


