Al Wakrah vs Al-Gharafa Prediction
· Saoud bin Abdulrahman Stadium
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Al-Gharafa
Match prediction
- Al-Gharafa's superior recent form and dominant head-to-head record justify favoring them, though the draw carries equal probability.
- Al Wakrah's winless run and zero clean sheets suggest they are unlikely to secure victory, supporting the double chance advice.
- The model's Poisson projection favors Al Wakrah, creating tension with the form and head-to-head evidence backing Al-Gharafa.
- Both attacks rate equally, but Al-Gharafa's stronger defensive profile and away scoring edge tilt the balance toward the visitors.
- Frequent draws in recent head-to-head meetings reinforce the draw component of the double chance recommendation.
- Al Wakrah's low home scoring average and leaky defense make an outright home win the least likely outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Al-Gharafa
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Al-Gharafa
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Al Wakrah | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Poisson | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| H2h | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 42.7% | 57.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Al Wakrah
Recent form: DLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Al-Gharafa
Recent form: WLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Al Wakrah 0–0 Al-Gharafa (05 May 2026)
- Al Wakrah 3–3 Al-Gharafa (08 Apr 2026)
- Al Wakrah 2–3 Al-Gharafa (13 Dec 2025)
- Al-Gharafa 1–0 Al Wakrah (21 Nov 2025)
- Al Wakrah 1–1 Al-Gharafa (11 Apr 2025)