Al-Shabab vs Saham Prediction
Match prediction
- Al-Shabab's superior form and defensive metrics justify the double-chance advice, though the model's equal 45% home and draw probabilities signal genuine uncertainty rather than clear dominance.
- Saham's stronger attack rating conflicts with its winless form and leaky defence, suggesting the away side can threaten but not convert enough to overturn the home-or-draw lean.
- Both teams' goal records show every recent match staying under 3.5 goals, directly supporting the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Al-Shabab's two clean sheets in three games and Saham's failure to keep any clean sheet reinforce the low-scoring expectation underpinning the under 3.5 selection.
- Head-to-head results are mixed with recent draws and away wins, so the 62% home edge is a moderate trend rather than a decisive historical pattern.
- Saham's tendency to concede late goals against a defensively solid Al-Shabab side makes a narrow, low-scoring outcome the most coherent reading of the evidence.
- Predicted winner
- Al-Shabab
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Al-Shabab or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Al-Shabab | Saham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Poisson | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Al-Shabab
Recent form: DDW.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
Saham
Recent form: LLDD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Al-Shabab 3–0 Saham (30 Apr 2026)
- Saham 1–2 Al-Shabab (18 Dec 2025)
- Saham 2–2 Al-Shabab (22 Nov 2025)
- Saham 2–2 Al-Shabab (28 Apr 2025)
- Al-Shabab 0–3 Saham (29 Oct 2024)


