Oman · FA Cup

Al-Shabab vs Saham Prediction

Al-Shabab badgeAl-Shabab vs Saham badgeSaham

Match prediction

  • Al-Shabab's superior form and defensive metrics justify the double-chance advice, though the model's equal 45% home and draw probabilities signal genuine uncertainty rather than clear dominance.
  • Saham's stronger attack rating conflicts with its winless form and leaky defence, suggesting the away side can threaten but not convert enough to overturn the home-or-draw lean.
  • Both teams' goal records show every recent match staying under 3.5 goals, directly supporting the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Al-Shabab's two clean sheets in three games and Saham's failure to keep any clean sheet reinforce the low-scoring expectation underpinning the under 3.5 selection.
  • Head-to-head results are mixed with recent draws and away wins, so the 62% home edge is a moderate trend rather than a decisive historical pattern.
  • Saham's tendency to concede late goals against a defensively solid Al-Shabab side makes a narrow, low-scoring outcome the most coherent reading of the evidence.
Predicted winner
Al-Shabab
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Al-Shabab or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorAl-ShababSaham
Form71.0%29.0%
Attack40.0%60.0%
Defence83.0%17.0%
Poisson58.0%42.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total61.2%38.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Al-Shabab

Recent form: DDW.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Saham

Recent form: LLDD.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Al-Shabab 3–0 Saham (30 Apr 2026)
  2. Saham 1–2 Al-Shabab (18 Dec 2025)
  3. Saham 2–2 Al-Shabab (22 Nov 2025)
  4. Saham 2–2 Al-Shabab (28 Apr 2025)
  5. Al-Shabab 0–3 Saham (29 Oct 2024)
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