Al-Nahda vs Sohar Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45-45 split between home win and draw, with only 10% for Sohar, directly supports the double-chance advice favoring Al-Nahda.
- Al-Nahda's unbeaten four-match run, including three draws, aligns with the elevated draw probability and justifies covering the draw alongside a home win.
- Sohar's superior attack and Poisson ratings conflict with the model's low away probability, suggesting the market may undervalue their scoring threat.
- Al-Nahda's stronger defence rating and perfect home record without defeat reinforce the case for avoiding an outright Sohar win.
- The head-to-head record heavily favors Al-Nahda, though Sohar's recent cup wins show the fixture can produce upsets.
- Both teams' tendency toward low-scoring, draw-heavy recent results supports the cautious double-chance approach over a single-outcome bet.
- Predicted winner
- Al-Nahda
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Al-Nahda or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Al-Nahda | Sohar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Defence | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Al-Nahda
Recent form: WDDD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Sohar
Recent form: WWL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Al-Nahda 0–1 Sohar (08 May 2026)
- Sohar 1–2 Al-Nahda (17 Apr 2026)
- Al-Nahda 2–1 Sohar (18 Dec 2025)
- Sohar 2–5 Al-Nahda (21 Nov 2025)
- Al-Nahda 6–0 Sohar (27 Apr 2025)