Al-Gharafa vs Al Mesaimeer Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 50/50 split between home win and draw, with zero away probability, frames the double-chance advice as a low-risk but not dominant position.
• Al-Gharafa's recent form shows four defeats in five, yet the model still favors them, suggesting the head-to-head and defensive metrics carry more weight than current results.
• Al Mesaimeer's single recorded match ended in a 0-1 home loss with a missed penalty, a small sample that limits how much their form can be trusted.
• The under-2.5 goals advice aligns with Al Mesaimeer's only tracked match staying under 2.5 and Al-Gharafa's recent low-scoring outputs.
• Al-Gharafa's perfect defensive comparison score contrasts with their leaky recent record, a conflict that likely explains why the model stops short of backing an outright win.
• The head-to-head sample is two matches from 2015-2016, too old to strongly support the home-favoring metrics, so the draw probability remains a genuine hedge.

Predicted winner

Al-Gharafa

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Al-Gharafa or draw and -2.5 goals

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

-2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Al Mesaimeer 0–2 Al-Gharafa (02 Jan 2016)
2. Al-Gharafa 1–0 Al Mesaimeer (18 Sep 2015)